I happened to play a private tournament and we were down to 4 players, top 3 get paid and I am sitting in 2nd place, the Big Blind is very short with less than 700 Chips at Blinds 100-200. The Chipleader has slightly more and is the only one that could kick us out of the tourney. Let's take a look at the hand history:
Hand#262094E397000129 - Tournament Table 1 T9757591 -- Table 1 -- $0/$100/$200 NL Hold'em -- 2011/06/09 - 01:29:10
Seat 3: thej***3 ($2,765 in chips)
Seat 4: Pric***4 ($686 in chips)
Seat 5: IcanHazCheez ($4,814 in chips)
Seat 9: slic***9 ($5,235 in chips) DEALER
thej***3: posts small blind 100
Pric***4: posts big blind 200
Dealt to IcanHazCheez [Qd,Kd]
IcanHazCheez: raises to 700
slic***9: is all in 5235.0000
thej***3: folds
Pric***4: is all in 486.0000
IcanHazCheez: is all in 4114.0000
slic***9: returns uncalled bet 421
Pric***4: shows [5h 5s]
IcanHazCheez: shows [Qd Kd]
slic***9: shows [Td Ad]
*** FLOP *** [2c,6h,Js]
*** TURN *** [6c]
*** RIVER *** [Qs]
***SHOW DOWN***
IcanHazCheez: wins 8,256 with Two Pairs, Queens and Sixes
BuyIn: $3.30
Payout:
1st = $13.50
2nd = $8.10
3rd = $5.40
The Chipleader has done the exact same isolation move a few times, using his chipstack near the bubble to rake in dead money ... and would have done the same without any doubt. Now you might ask why I call in that spot - most would fold there and just hope the Chipleader kicks out the shorty and move on from there. But with what hand range would he make that move and what else does speak for a call almost even stacked as 2nd vs 1st?
- if he really wants to get value out of a big hand, he would not shove all in and rather 3bet preflop
- he has done the move several times before in very similar scenarios
- both Chipleaders are likely to have a hand that beats the shorty in showdown
- tight play on the bubble is -EV, especially in SNG
- payout difference between 2nd / 3rd and bubble
- do you play to win or to cash?
What speaks against the call in that spot?
- bubble and giving away a decent opportunity to get at least 2nd
- you still have an okay stack if you fold, no matter if the CL wins the hand or not
It is not necessarily scared money in an MTT and you can't compare it, because if you are deep in an MTT and have the same move on the bubble you are more likely to fold because you can reach that situation in an MTT less often than in a SNG. The payout difference in a SNG is not really that big and usually we play for the win here.
Given the previous play, the Chipleader made the same move several times and his hand range is more loose - you don't always give him a monster hand that totally dominates you. So what exactly would that be? Probably middle pocket pairs and AT / AJ ... sometimes AK but that is worst case scenario besides Queens / Kings / Aces. But considering the payout steps on a regular one table SNG, would you rather prefer a chance to win a big pot and dominate the SNG 3 handed or fold and probably see the Shortstack triple up after the isolation?
You obviously pick hand combinations that have equity against the most common hand range of the Chipleader there and no Ace rag that will almost always see you dominated. At the very end it always depends on the own risk management, but in that case I have to say "tight is shyte". Maybe that is just the influence of cashgame or the HeadsUp SNG ... but if I really fold there in a simple SNG, I can also quit playing poker. I heard chess was a really fascinating and highly entertaining game with lots of action ... .
Obviously that is different in an MTT but you always have to adjust your game to the current table and circumstances, otherwise you are stuck with standard moves that every opponent can exploit when he is paying atttention. And especially on the bubble, you will see a lot of isolation moves just to rake in dead chips. It is your call ... or should I say fold?
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